Reform remains ahead as Labour and Conservatives stay locked together, Latest Polling Suggests

Reform UK continues to lead national voting intention polls, but the latest YouGov survey suggests Britain's political landscape remains remarkably stable despite growing pressure on the two main parties.

The poll, conducted for The Times and Sky News, places Reform on 24 per cent, down one point from the previous survey. Labour and the Conservatives remain tied on 19 per cent, leaving Nigel Farage's party five points ahead of its nearest rivals. All movements are within the poll's margin of error.

While Reform remains in first place, the figures point less to a political breakthrough than to a continuing fragmentation of the electorate. Neither Labour nor the Conservatives has succeeded in establishing a decisive advantage over the other, while smaller parties continue to attract a significant share of support.

The Greens have risen to 15 per cent, their highest level in recent YouGov polling, while the Liberal Democrats are up to 13 per cent. Together, the two parties now command more than a quarter of the vote, underlining the extent to which British politics has moved away from the two-party dominance that characterised much of the post-war era.

For Labour, the figures will offer little comfort. Nearly two years after entering government, Sir Keir Starmer's party remains level with the Conservatives despite the difficulties facing the opposition. The inability to establish a clear lead over a Conservative Party still recovering from electoral defeat continues to raise questions about Labour's capacity to consolidate support.

The Conservatives face an equally challenging picture. Remaining tied with Labour may suggest resilience, but it also leaves the party some distance behind Reform. The poll highlights the continued pressure from Nigel Farage's movement, which has succeeded in attracting voters dissatisfied with both Westminster's governing party and the official opposition.

Reform's position at the top of the poll remains politically significant, even if its support has softened slightly. A decade after the Brexit referendum transformed British politics, the party's success reflects continuing voter frustration with the political establishment and a growing willingness to look beyond the traditional parties.

The rise of smaller parties is perhaps the most notable trend. Support for the Greens and Liberal Democrats suggests many voters are seeking alternatives across the political spectrum, contributing to an increasingly fragmented electoral landscape in which no single party appears capable of commanding broad national support.

The result is a political environment characterised less by momentum than by stalemate. Reform remains ahead, Labour and the Conservatives remain level, and voters continue to distribute their support across an increasingly diverse range of parties.

For the country's political leaders, the latest poll offers a simple message: dissatisfaction remains widespread, and few parties have yet found a convincing answer to it.

Source: YouGov voting intention poll for The Times and Sky News. Fieldwork conducted 14–15 June 2026. Sample of British adults. Credit: YouGov.